Will robots and AI take all our jobs?

21

October

2017

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With increasing automation around the world and robots taking over more and more jobs (Arntz, Gregory & Zierahn, 2016). Do humans still have jobs in 100 or 200 years, the chances are that all jobs will be taken over by automation and robots. Influential people in the IT business like Elon Musk, co-founder of Tesla and SpaceX, have publicly raised questions whether we should move to a society where everyone receives a universal basic income.

Where 20 years ago driving would’ve been an example where humans are superior, now it’s the cornerstone of advanced AI. For example, companies like Uber and Google have been using automated cars successfully for years. While some researchers seem to agree that automation will take over many jobs, others reason humans will always be needed for certain jobs (David, 2015). Particularly in high-skill jobs like education, law and medicine, humans seem to still have the edge over computers and AI (Rotman, 2013). At the moment, researchers seem to have multiple views about the effect of AI on the job market. One study states that the human should not feel threated by digitization and that it will be unlikely that automation will take over a lot of jobs (Arntz et al., 2016). Contrary Hughes (2014), thinks AI will be a serious threat to a lot of workers. Human workers are becoming increasingly less needed to keep production running.

Just like in the car industry, the law industry was seen as an industry where humans were vastly superior. The reality is, however that law firms are already using supercomputers. ROSS, the name of the AI, has been deployed by several law firms already. That is not the only example, DoNotPay, is an automated bot that helps you overturn parking tickets. It did with much success, in only a couple of months since launch it appealed between 160.000 and 250.000 parking tickets (Weller, 2016).

The question is which of the two situations is more likely to happen in the next 10 years, will AI take over or will it have almost no effect on the job market. In my opinion, automation and AI will most likely take over a lot of jobs. You can already see that companies have to keep innovating to stay ahead of the curve. It’s important as a company to fully use the capabilities of what AI has to offer, otherwise, your competitor will. Currently, I think most people are not yet comfortable with a world that is primarily run by robots. However, with time a lot of jobs will disappear and we humans must find other ways to stay relevant.

 

 

 

  • Arntz, M., Gregory, T., & Zierahn, U. (2016). The risk of automation for jobs in OECD countries: A comparative analysis. OECD Social, Employment, and Migration Working Papers, (189), 0_1.
  • David, H. (2015). Why are there still so many jobs? The history and future of workplace automation. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29(3), 3-30.
  • Hughes, J. (2014). A strategic opening for a basic income guarantee in the global crisis being created by AI, robots, desktop manufacturing and biomedicine. J Evol Tech, 24(1), 45-61.
  • Rotman, D. (2013). How technology is destroying jobs. Technology Review, 16(4), 28-35.
  • Weller, C. (2016) Law firms of the future will be filled with robot lawyers Retrieved from: http://www.businessinsider.com/law-firms-are-starting-to-use-robot-lawyers-2016-7?international=true&r=US&IR=T

    Picture: https://tctechcrunch2011.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/robotboss.jpg

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Technology of the Week – Blockchain and the disruption of the remittance industry[Group 55]

6

October

2017

5/5 (2)

Currently, when a foreign worker wants to send a remittance back to their home country through traditional financial services, it can cost a lot of money and take several days to process. The remittance market has been dominated for many years by a select few companies like Western Union and MoneyGram (Aouad, 2017). Most of the remittance payments are being made to developing countries, where many people still do not have access to financial services. Globally, there are over 2 billion people that do not possess a bank account (World Bank, 2014). With globalization and the growing use of smartphones, the demand to send money across borders more efficiently keeps growing. The remittance industry is expected to reach an astounding $618 billion by 2018 (Aouad, 2017).

OmiseGO, a platform launching later this year, will be tackling a lot of the aforementioned issues. The platform is being built on blockchain technology, which is a peer-to-peer network that provides a decentralized database, also referred to as a distributed digital ledger (Wright & de Filippi, 2015). The computers on this network are also known as nodes. Each node has a copy of the ledger, meaning that anyone can access all executed transactions. When a transaction is being conducted, all the nodes must come to an agreement in order to verify the authenticity of the transaction.

One of the many benefits of using OmiseGo is that transactions can be easily executed without a bank account through third party remittance services on the platform. In addition to only costing a fraction of what traditional remittance services such as Western Union charge, it allows people that do not have access to a bank account to be financially included. OmiseGO also allows users to acquire different currencies, including crypto- and fiat currency, with minimal conversion costs.

Taking a look at Porter’s five forces, we can further elaborate on the market situation of the remittance industry:

  • Bargaining power of suppliers is currently low but will increase in the future due to increased competition from OmiseGo.
  • Bargaining power of buyers will increase with competition from the platform.
  • Threats of new entrants has been traditionally low because of the high amount of required capital and regulations, which a platform like OmiseGO can facilitate, in particular the former.
  • Threat of substitutes has been high in recent years, and will continue to rise with OmiseGO, as there has been an increase of digital services like PayPal.
  • With the introduction of the platform, industry rivalry will increase due to low switching costs among providers offering cheaper fees.

Looking at the future of the remittance industry, it is expected that blockchain will play an increasingly important role. With the increase of smartphones and internet penetration, especially in developing countries, having a platform that allows for fast, transparent, low cost and secure transactions is vital (Horowitz & Phelan, 2015). The amount of remittances continues to grow, new platforms such as OmiseGO are poised to seriously disrupt the industry by providing a cheaper and faster service.

 

 

References

  • Aouad, A., 2017. THE DIGITAL REMITTANCE REPORT: How tech-savvy challengers are pushing the industry toward a digital-first future. [Online] Available at: http://www.businessinsider.com/the-digital-remittance-report-2017-7?international=true&r=US&IR=T [Accessed 4 Oktober 2017].
  • Horowitz, J. & Phelan, A., 2015. China and India: The Growing Arenas for E-Commernce. [Online]
  • Available at: https://www.usitc.gov/publications/332/executive_briefings/chinaindia_e-commerce-commissionreview.pdf [Accessed 1 Oktober 2017].
  • Worldbank, 2014. Global Findex. [Online] Available at: http://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/globalfindex [Accessed 4 Oktober2017].
  • Wright, A. & de Filippi, P., 2015. Decentralized Blockchain Technology and the Rise of Lex Cryptographia. SSRN, p. 58.

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Should we regulate companies like Uber and Airbnb?

30

September

2017

5/5 (1)

In the last decade, there have been a lot of popular businesses like Uber and Airbnb operating in the sharing economy (Penn & Wihbey, 2016).  With Airbnb valued at $10 billion and Uber at $18,2 billion, they are disrupting the traditional hotel chains and taxis companies respectively (Cannon & Summers, 2014). It is not hard to see why since the pricing is lower, more transparent and on top of that gives both suppliers and users more flexibility (Zervas, Proserpio & Byers, 2014).

While there have been a lot of upsides, especially from the customer’s perspective, there are also some negatives. For example, Uber and Lyfe still have a lot regulatory issues in multiple countries and are even banned from some areas (GCF, 2017). The Uber drivers don’t have to abide all these rules traditional taxi drivers are bound by, which leads to an unfair competitive advantage. Furthermore, traditional hotels are held to a certain standard, have regulations and are being inspected for safety risks like firetraps. The apartments on Airbnb have none of the aforementioned rules and safety checks, so the customer could possibly be exposed to one or more risks.

Although services like Uber have unwritten rules, for example, an Uber drive is expected to take the shortest route. If the customer is not happy with the driver or the route he took, there is an option to leave a bad review or even ask Uber for a compensation. So in a way, Uber and similar companies are already being regulated, although not in the traditional way with rules but by the users themselves. If you add more rules and regulations to this system, it may hinder the natural process.

The sharing economy gives back power to the user, but this also comes with downsides. In general, these companies do give customers more options to pick from, though you have to be aware of the added risks. Rules do not always mean better service and could even hurt what makes the sharing economy so strong, a user regulated service. It is an interesting question how many rules exactly should be in place if any.

 

 

References:

  • Cannon, S., & Summers, L. H. (2014). How Uber and the sharing economy can win over regulators. Harvard business review, 13(10), 24-28.
  • Edelman, B.G., Geradin, D. (2015) Efficiencies and regulatory shortcuts: How should we regulate companies like Airbnb and uber?
  • Koopman, C., Mitchell, M.D. and Thierer, A.D. (2015) The Sharing Economy and Consumer Protection Regulation: The Case for Policy Change. The Journal of Business, Entrepreneurship & the Law, Vol. 8 Iss 2, 2015
  • GCF, n.d. Sharing Economy: Legal and Safety issues in the Sharing economy. [Online]
    Available at: https://www.gcflearnfree.org/sharingeconomy/legal-and-safety-issues-in-the-sharing-economy/1/
  • Penn, O. & Wihbey, J., 2016. Uber, Airbnb and consequences of the sharing economy: Research roundup – Journalist’s Resource. [Online]
    Available at: https://journalistsresource.org/studies/economics/business/airbnb-lyft-uber-bike-share-sharing-economy-research-roundup
  • Zervas, G., Proserpio, D., & Byers, J. W. (2014). The rise of the sharing economy: Estimating the impact of Airbnb on the hotel industry. Journal of Marketing Research.

Picture:
http://dailysignal.com/wp-content/uploads/airbnb-1250×650.jpg

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