Tipping point of a sustainable future

28

September

2016

5/5 (2)

Humanities nature of pushing boundaries can economically be explained by the invisible hand of Adam Smith. The pushing culture resulted in short-term tendencies, which damaged our habitat. Especially energy generated from fossil fuels like gas and coal. This increasing stretch on our big blue marble comes with a price. Not for the planet as many shall be thinking, but for living organisms like humans. Kind of ironic that the outraging exploitation of our planet will not harm it, but will ultimately strike us. And kind of funny that the root for our problem, economic rational shall give us a solution.

Headlines aren’t covering it, but at this moment a silent revolution is taking place. It is driven by technology and progressive businessmen. These people realize, that besides the greenhouse effect, fossil fuels are limited. To maintain their wealth, they started to invest in alternative energy. This generated an acceleration in sustainable energy. Because of these technological developments and investment activities sustainable energy is cheaper than energy generated by fossil fuels. This tipping point is reached without governmental financial aid. Therefore, it is the economic rational that gives the ultimate solution. This incentive will speed up the transition to sustainable energy. This scenario is not a futuristic one, but a reality in countries such as Brazil, Australia and United Arab Emirates. Other countries like Spain, Germany and Morocco will reach their tipping point in a few years. How come that the Netherlands is not following these developments and increased the use of coal to produce energy? Dutch government policy about sustainability is powerless, missing a clear vision and the drive to innovate.

Looking at the five forces model of Porter you can envision that the treat of sustainable energy as a substitute of fossil generated energy in the coming decade is high. The quality of the two different sources of energy is equal, this will not change the threat. But knowing that the substitute is (becoming) cheaper and that switching costs are low may have enormous consequences for current energy suppliers. These substitute threats may be reduced by initial high capital investments and the need for economies of scale. Therefore, there will be no abundance of new entrants. But a lot of capital is flowing in the sustainable energy sector. A record of 286 billion dollars for investments and new capital can create economies of scale and hence new entrants can form a threat. You can think of large pension funds who grasp the opportunities and have a policy in sustainable development.  Will current leading energy companies make the transition earlier because of these developments? Will society profit from this in terms of wealth but also in welfare? Which technologies will be leading?

References:

6 procent van onze stroom kwam vorig jaar uit wind. (2016, November 28). Retrieved September 28, 2016, from http://nos.nl/artikel/2134785-6-procent-van-onze-stroom-kwam-vorig-jaar-uit-wind.html

Armstrong, R., & Perez-Arriaga, I. (2014, November 10). The Utility of the Future. Retrieved September 26, 2016, from http://energy.mit.edu/news/the-utility-of-the-future/

De doorbraak van duurzaam. (2016, August 25). Retrieved September 28, 2016, from http://www.vpro.nl/programmas/tegenlicht/speel~VPWON_1261670~de-doorbraak-van-duurzaam-vpro-tegenlicht~.html

Luttikhuis, P. (2016, September 22). ‘Duurzame welvaart is onze taak’ Retrieved September 28, 2016, from https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2016/09/22/duurzame-welvaart-is-onze-taak-4406112-a1522876

McCrone, A., Moslener, U., D’Estais, F., Usher, E., & Grüning, C. (2016, March). Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016. Retrieved September 28, 2016, from http://fs-unep-centre.org/publications/global-trends-renewable-energy-investment-2016

Porter, M. E., & Millar, V. E. (1985). How information gives you competitive advantage.

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Commercial cargo, crew transportation and other space related business initiatives

18

September

2016

5/5 (4)

In the last decade developments show that the commercialization of space exploration is a reality. The effort and capital pioneers invest in this ambitious industry comes from curiosity and dreaming about the unknown. Discovering places and going where no human being ever went. The endeavors by pioneers is not solely based on curiosity. There are other incentives to go after space related business initiatives. Possibilities on the horizon of the revitalized industry are (Pelton, 2010):

  • solar power satellites; harness clean solar energy in space and beaming it to earth
  • commercial spaceplanes and space stations; citizen astronauts get the opportunity to enter space.
  • innovative new space technology; cost-effective ways to explore the moon, sun and planets. Solve communication, climate and energy problems.
  • mining commodities on celestial bodies;
  • new visions; space research is all about the unknown potential and innovations that can change the direction of humankind.

Information and new technology made the market accessible. It will stimulate the development of the market and economy. In order to be successful in space, NASA and private companies made agreements about sharing information. The agreements are designed to create a transportation system for cargo and crew from earth to space (Stone et al., 2008). This collaboration can result in business network-based value creation. Another association who tries to benefit from a network is the Breakthrough Initiatives. They strive to accomplish other goals in space (Breakthrough Initiatives, 2016). These two gird examples have to conform to condition formation, demand and stability in order to create more value than without the network (Kauffman et al., 2010).

The industry is emerging, full of possibilities and therefore interesting to test with the theory of newly vulnerable markets. The space industry is (1) newly easy to enter because of regulatory changes within the US government and NASA. These empowered new entrants. Technology improved significantly. This reduced the cost and barriers of entering. There is a change in preferences among consumers. More and more individuals like the idea of space travel as citizen astronauts. The market is (2) attractive to attack because of earlier mentioned curiosity by visionary pioneers and the opportunity of abnormal profits. Private enterprises can target on profitable aspects of the business and neglect the less profitable. Due to the opportunistic pickoff, the focus on the profitable prospects is an advantages in addition to governmental organizations. The space business may be (in the future) (3) difficult to defend. Which suggest that incumbents fail to effectively counteract to threats of new entrants. Newcomers in the business tackle existing price structures, strategic inflexibility, lack of vision and legacy systems. All these conditions give entrants an opportunity to prosper, but realize that the industry becomes less enticing after the first round of prosperous invasion. (Granados et al., 2008)

 

References:

Breakthrough Initiatives. (2016, April 12). Retrieved September 14, 2016, from http://breakthroughinitiatives.org/News/4

Granados, N. F., Kauffman, R. J., & King, B. (2008). How has electronic travel distribution been transformed? A test of the theory of newly vulnerable markets. Journal of Management Information Systems25(2), 73-96.

Kauffman, R. J., Li, T., & Van Heck, E. (2010). Business network-based value creation in electronic commerce. International Journal of Electronic Commerce15(1), 113-144.

Pelton, J. N. (2010). A new space vision for NASA—And for space entrepreneurs too?. Space Policy,26(2), 78-80.

Stone, D., Lindenmoyer, A., French, G., Musk, E., Gump, D., Kathuria, C., Miller, C., Sirangelo, M. & Pickens, T. (2008). NASA’s approach to commercial cargo and crew transportation. Acta Astronautica63(1), 192-197.

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