Digital Transformation Project – How Volkswagen transforms cars for the digital age

13

October

2016

5/5 (3)

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Digital transformation is an omnipresent topic in the media and concerns almost every industry and company. We all have heard of Tesla disrupting the market with its electric cars. Google and Apple also have their own car projects. What are the actual major car manufacturers like Volkswagen up to?

Smartphones assist us in our daily life, except while we drive. As we all know, there are some systems in place that let your smartphone be used e.g. as a tool for navigation or source of media for the car radio.

VW goes a step further and started a concept called Car Net. The goal is to make the car smart, or connected to the outside. The system connects all individual functions of the car and gives them the ability to communicate with each other. Via the internet a constant communication link between the car and its manufacturer is enabled, which includes other vehicles, mobile phones and even traffic signs. The term connected car covers all safety, information and entertainment systems found in the car and connects them with internal and external parties.

The connected car is equipped with communication technology that can send and receive data directly without the need for a smartphone. To give you a few examples, the car can provide the driver with current traffic jams as well as weather and road conditions. Other vehicles can send emergency information about accidents that lie ahead. The car can also automatically detect empty parking spots and lead the driver to them. In the future, the connected car will also be able to connect directly with its surroundings.

communication

This includes traffic lights or railroad crossings that share information, so that the car knows, that there is a red light at the next intersection. Such a system could also be used for automatic speed adjustment according to the traffic flow or for collision avoidance.

Volkswagen has developed its own solution, however it relies partly on the usage of Android Auto or Apple CarPlay. We think that VW, as the second largest car manufacturer worldwide should be able to develop a truly superior solution. However, when it comes to developing innovative software within VW, we identified a couple of problems that prevent the company from doing so.

Problem for VW

The main problem we identified is the size of Volkswagen and its hierarchical structures, that promote bureaucracy rather than innovation. A huge disadvantage of the hierarchical management in VW are its strict (and non-flexible) communication paths. If the Volkswagen Group IT is involved, then the communication paths are getting even more complex compared to just the in-house IT department, as decision makers from other brands are also involved in the process. Especially in times like these, where Tesla pushes On-the-Air updates to its cars every couple of months, the requirements for software development are constantly changing. This fast-paced environment is not reflected in the current structure of the company.

Secondly, the software development within a car manufacturer like Volkswagen is hardly independent. There is a certain political influence by managers that fear their power fading away, when the focus shifts more and more towards the software development. Managers may also prevent their power fading away by participating in initiatives and projects where they are not able to contribute efficiently. Both examples show that the independency of software development is currently not guaranteed within the existing structures.

Lastly, the main focus for Volkswagen as a company is of course to manufacture cars and to develop efficient engines and not to write software for their cars. However, this approach is most likely too narrow-minded as software development gets more and more important, especially with the introduction of Connected Cars and autonomous driving. On the other hand this also means that car manufacturers struggle to evolve more unique selling points only from developing their cars or engines further. When we look at Tesla, whose progressive software innovations are seen as a wake-up call by the automotive sector according to our interview partner, we see that the CEO of Tesla, Elon Musk previously founded an innovative web service to facilitate online payments and had no prior experience in manufacturing cars. This demonstrates a perfect example for the increasing importance of software and the decreasing importance of the traditional hardware engineering component.

Solution for VW

We developed a strategic approach for Volkswagen to solve the described problems, that differs between a between a short, medium and long term timeframe.

The long term vision for Volkswagen should be to establish the software development as an independent unit in its value chain. By pursuing this strategy VW does not only meet the customer needs for quicker development cycles of software but also accounts for the rapidly increasing importance of software in the whole automotive industry.

In the medium term we already expect that all software development activities that concern the concept of connected car are bundled in an independent entity, whose focus is solely on software development.

In the short term, we want to complete the exact planning for the new independent entity and start transferring managers, project teams and new hires to the software development entity.

 

The Comeback of Nokia or Unbreakable phone = Unbreakable Company?

7

October

2016

4.83/5 (6)

We all know that Nokia missed out on the smartphone trend in the consumer electronic business, because of a business strategy that did not see the potential of phones with touchscreen. (much like the companies that bet against the rise of the automobile, which are… – well you see they don’t exist anymore). As a result the company was bought by Microsoft to cut losses.

Surprisingly, Nokia has so far held its head just above the rising water. After 2011, when Nokia sold its mobile phone business for 7 Billion dollars to Microsoft, the Scandinavian company switched its business strategy towards the telecommunications infrastructure business. Nokia Networks is a very profitable business so far and has recently acquired the start up Eta Devices. With this acquisition Nokia wants to get a share of the building 5 G market. Eta Devices offers Nokia the technology to significantly boost the battery life of smartphones up to 50 percent. That is definitely a competitive technology that gives Nokia an opportunity to catch up on the competition.

However Nokia does not stop there, they recently announced a smartphone comeback with Android 7.0 Nougat devices in Q1 2017. One focus of the new Nokia smartphones will be high end quality, (maybe as indestructible as the Nokia3310?!) including premium metal designs and up to date water resistance. Furthermore, the two smartphones include 2K displays and sensory technology based on graphene, which is considered a wonder material in the industry. The graphene technology is not even included in the iPhone 7 yet. Other features are a long battery life and 3D Touch-technology. The price is rumoured to be around 500 dollars for the most expensive version. This definitely sounds like a promising product, that is able to get on eye level in terms of quality with competitors like Samsung or Apple. Considering that one of the business partners of Nokia is Foxconn, rumors has it that a combination of the design expertise of Nokia combined with the manufacture expertise of Foxconn definetly sounds dangerous for the other smartphone companies.

Both the investment in 5G network technology, as well as flagship level smartphones in the end of 2016 sounds like Nokia survived as a company after all. It will be interesting for the consumers how their new market strategy turns out considering competition like Apple or Google. Nevertheless high competition always leads to better products and in the end better smartphones for us as consumers.

 

 

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Quantum computing – The next frontier after Moore’s Law?

4

October

2016

4.75/5 (16)

 

google-quantum-computer

The producers of processors are facing a serious problem. In a few years, building faster processors with the technology as we know it will not be possible anymore. So far, building faster processors was essentially a matter of placing as many transistors as possible on one chip. The more transistors, the faster the chip. As Gordon Moore (co-founder of Intel) observed in 1965, the number of transistors per square inch on integrated circuits had doubled every year since the integrated circuit was invented. He stated that this trend would continue for the foreseeable future. This is known as the Moore’s Law. Regarding computer processors, it is possible to upgrade their performance by building smaller transistors and placing more and more on one chip. Nevertheless, this process is about to reach its limit. As soon as chip technology reaches the atomic level, the density of transistors reaches a physical limit. To give you an idea how dense the transistors are placed, in the year of 2000, 37.5 million transistors could be placed on one chip, in 2017 IBM projects to place 20 billion (yes billion) transistors on one chip. The most recent manufacturing techniques used are performed on a 7 nanometer scale. As a comparison, a human hair is approximately 80,000- 100,000 nanometers wide. The limit where it is still feasible financially to develop a chip would be 7 nanometers. A leading scientist in the field, Colwell, emphasized that by 2020 the limit of Moore’s Law, currently about 5 nanometers, will be reached.
What does that mean for the computer industry? Will we be stuck with the same processing power for years?computer

There are some promising alternatives that have yet to be fully translated from theory into practice. Next to alternatives like increasing the performance of storage drives,
overclocking processors while cooling them down to almost absolute zero,
one alternative seems most assuring.
Quantum computers are what organizations like Google, IBM or the NASA are looking into.

A prototype quantum annealer by the company D-Wave, recently acquired by Google, was able to perform a task a 100
million times faster
than a convential processor. Or 10,000 years faster than a convential computer. This task is not performed easily though. The quantum computer needs to be cooled to a hundredth of a degree Celsius above absolute zero (−273.15°C), in order to create a somewhat stable environment. That is the reason the quantum computers as of today are called quantum annealer. The quantum annealer is also very sensitive to electromagnetic waves, like visible light, radio, infrared or x rays. It is therefore considered to be yet extremely unstable and very costly to use. This makes it very difficult to scale, since you cannot build a laboratory around a quantum annealer every time you want to upgrade your performance.
The technique behind it is fascinating however.

Imagine a switch that you can either switch on or off.homerswitch
That is how bits of today’s computers essentially work. They can either represent a 1 or a 0.

A quantum computer bit however, called qubit, can represent a 1, a 0 or both at once. This is confusing enough, however the possibilities do not stop here. With each qubit added to another, the total number of potential states doubles. Two qubits can represent a state of 00, 01, 10 and 11 at the same time.

This is an example of so called superposition.

This opens up seemingly endless possibilities in terms of performance. It means that the more data the computer has, the faster it is.

Now remember the problems that we are not yet able to solve, since we are missing the computer performance to analyze or calculate all the variables. Popular examples are simulating molecules in their entirety, compute any scientific experiment virtually, crack any so far known encryption technique, airline scheduling, financial analysis, cancer radiotherapy, gene research or simply improve web search.

Some scientists state that the creation of the first universal quantum computer will be similar to society as switching on the first self-sustaining nuclear reaction in Chicago in 1942. That definitely changed the world as we knew it. Luckily, The most recent quantum computer are not there yet and can only be used for very narrow, specific tasks. A so called universal quantum computer however can be applied to many processes, much like a PC of today – only a million times faster.

Do you have ideas for further applications of the process powers offered by quantum computers? What are in your opinion dangers or opportunities for quantum technology? As an example, Google is on the forefront of building a quantum computer, what are Google’s capabilities with their collected data?

 

References

Aaronson, S., & Technology, M. I. of (2013). Quantum computing since Democritus. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.

Adiabatic quantum computation (2016). . In Wikipedia. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adiabatic_quantum_computation

Aron, Jacob. (2016, August 31). Revealed: Google’s plan for quantum computer supremacy. Retrieved October 1, 2016, from https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg23130894-000-revealed-googles-plan-for-quantum-computer-supremacy/

Boixo, S., Isakov, S. V., Smelyanskiy, V. N., Babbush, R., Ding, N., Jiang, Z., … Neven, H. (2016, July 31). Title: Characterizing quantum supremacy in near-term devices. Retrieved October 4, 2016, from https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.00263

Crothers, B. (2013, August 28). End of Moore’s law: It’s not just about physics. Retrieved October 4, 2016, from https://www.cnet.com/news/end-of-moores-law-its-not-just-about-physics/

Finley, K. (2014, September 5). The Internet finally belongs to everyone. Retrieved October 4, 2016, from Business, https://www.wired.com/2014/09/martinis/

Freiberger, M. (2015, October 1). What can quantum computers do? Retrieved October 4, 2016, from https://plus.maths.org/content/what-can-quantum-computers-do

Gaudin, S. (2015, December 15). Quantum computing may be moving out of science fiction. . Retrieved from http://www.computerworld.com/article/3015538/emerging-technology/quantum-computing-may-be-moving-out-of-science-fiction.html

HuChenming— (2016). Moore’s law. In Wikipedia. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law#Near-term_limits

Simonite, T. (2016, February 4). Inside Google’s quantum computing lab, Questing for the perfect computer. Retrieved October 4, 2016, from https://www.technologyreview.com/s/544421/googles-quantum-dream-machine/

Launching the quantum artificial intelligence lab. (2013, May 16). Retrieved from https://research.googleblog.com/2013/05/launching-quantum-artificial.html

Staff, datascience@berkeley. (2014, March 5). Moore’s law and computer processing power – Blog. Retrieved October 4, 2016, from https://datascience.berkeley.edu/moores-law-processing-power/

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Technology of the Week – User created content on Youtube, Amazon..?

22

September

2016

4.9/5 (10)

There has been a tremendous transformation of the video technology from black and white movies to today’s latest technology of smartphones that live stream from all over the world. This transformation has fundamentally changed the way we consume videos.

Nowadays, creating video content and watching it on demand has become the standard. One of the largest and most popular video platform of the world is YouTube. The content on this platform was offered initially by amateur filmmakers, who shared scenes about their hobbies or important moments in their life. Surprisingly, the described user-created content achieved a popularity that back in the day was only reached by rock stars or famous actors. The audience reached by some of the most popular Youtubers today are millions of Users. As an example, the most popular Youtuber “Pewdiepie” has 48 million active subscribers that love watching him playing computer games. With him and other content creators, YouTube counts an astonishing number of 1.3 billion monthly visitors. This resulted in revenue of $9bn in 2015. The secret to the success of Youtube are undoubtedly many factors, e.g. Google as parent company, but especially the sheer number of content satisfies literally any curious video consumer. Gaming, Cooking or Make-up tutorials are just a few keywords that offer an exhaustive number of user generated content for everybody on this video platform.

In the same time not only user created videos were on the rise, but also Hollywood content found its way on the internet. One of the most popular platforms nowadays, where you can find your favorite movies is Amazon’s streaming service, Amazon Prime Video.
The business strategy of Amazon is different from Youtube. The company began to first make movies available online to be rented or purchased and later added a streaming service. This strategy showed to be fairly successful, considering that Amazon’s core business is not video streaming but retailing. Interestingly enough, Amazon went one step further than its competitors by diversifying its strategy and adding a service that allows semi-professional creators to upload and monetize their own content on Amazon. The emphasis here lies on the content being created by neither total amateurs, nor Hollywood level video creators. This way Amazon lets people post videos to the so called Amazon Video Direct and earns money from advertising and other sources, putting the business in direct competition with YouTube. Given that Youtubers like the above mentioned “Pewdiepie” are hugely successful, placing a bet on user generated content as cornerstone of the video streaming business is definitely a promising business endeavour.

In the future it will be interesting to see how both services, Amazon and Youtube will evolve. Analysts predict a steady rise in revenues for Youtube over the next years, whereas Amazon and its competitors only predict moderate growth. Netflix, for example achieves growth by expanding internationally, whereas Amazon has yet to do the same, as they are only operating their video services in 8 countries as of now.

 

Group 36

(Jan Holst, Hendrik Hagedorn, Lukas Hirsch, Prabjot Jawanda)

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