Antifragile Business: How a system improves at the expense of its sub-parts.

9

October

2021

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Fragile entities are destroyed or damaged when they are exposed to disorder or stressed beyond a certain point. Think of purchasing a set of glasses that are at high risk to be shattered during the delivery process. For example, by a bump on the road. Appling stress to a fragile object leads quickly to a loss in value.

Robust entities are things that withstand high amounts of stress under which fragile objects would have shattered easily. Such things might be bank saves which are able to withstand high amounts of stress to protect their contents. Some robust entities do not give in at all when exposed to stress, others are able to absorb high amounts of stress, but can return to their original status. Think of a rubber band, or the mythological phoenix creature that after its death, returns to its original form.

Now, Antifragile entities, according to the book “Antifragility” by Nicolas Taleb, are things that gain from disorder and stress. An example of this is the evolution of life. There is no end in sight, and it constantly adapts to changing circumstances to survive and evolve. In fragile, and at some point, even in robust systems, disorder increases. This introduces more and more chaos until, at some point, the system collapses. In the evolution of life, due to inheriting genes of the previously most adapted life forms, life manages not just to withstand chaos, but to introduce higher and higher life forms (Schrödinger, 1944/ 2012). Another mythological example would be the hydra. After one of its heads has been separated, two more will grow.

However, for a system to be antifragile, some parts of it must be fragile. This is necessary because the occasional collapse of sub-components provided crucial feedback for the overall antifragile system to learn what works well and what not. Think of, that any individual specimen of a species is usually fragile. If exposed to too much damage, it will die. However, the evolutionary system of life itself can take this feedback in the form of indicators of success and failure to adapt to future generations. Making the species antifragile (Taleb, 2012). A simpler example is physical exercise, in which you expose yourself to physical stress and adapt to e.g. increasing weights.

This serves as an introduction to the topic of antifragility. Now, what does this mean for businesses?

Some businesses try to avoid fragility with policies, governments try to avoid fragility with regulations. However, once efforts are made to remove any volatility to e.g., smooth out economic cycles, the vital stressors that enable things to adapt to ever-changing circumstances are removed. Resources become misallocated as the feedback loop that provided insights about what works and what does not, stops. This, ironically, makes the whole system extremely fragile. It only takes one unexpected shock to cause a chain reaction that quickly collapses the whole system. Tranquility leads to Fragility.

An example of an antifragile business entity would be an investment banker that benefits from “not having skin in the game” (Taleb, 2012). Modern bankers handle the money of others without being at risk themselves. If they do well, they collect bonuses. If they fail, they have not lost their own money. They have become antifragile.

A more positive example of antifragile businesses is the lean startup that learns from its mistakes to adapt itself to fulfill customer needs without wasting too many resources.

Eric Rise’s Build-Measure-Learn Loop from his book “The Lean Startup” (Ries, 2011)

But why does this matter? Why am I writing this blog post?

I was inspired by Sten Willemese’s Blog contribution (https://digitalstrategy.rsm.nl/2021/10/06/the-dark-pages-of-facebook/), where he explained the harmful effects that social media has on the younger generation. It was revealed that Facebook is aware of these issues, but decided to ignore them; “prioritizing its profits over the wellbeing of its users”.

Disorder, stress, chaos and damage in other systems are what make social media antifragile. Media such as Twitter or Facebook are thriving off other systems being fragile (Kenny, 2013).

Such other systems might be teens that are affected by conforming to unrealistic beauty standards suggested by social media, exposing them to unhealthy amounts of psychological stress. While harmful for the individual, social media gets flooded with posts from people that want to present their lives from their best sides. This is where social media has become antifragile. By causing stress to its users, the platform becomes antifragile as more and more users try to keep up with standards and set new trends.

This is just an assumption that I made. I hope this blog encourages you to see that the difference of fragile systems are not robust systems, but antifragile systems.

The concept of antifragility emphasizes the need for businesses to expose themselves to the unknown. It encourages prototyping and testing to produce and make every iteration of a product better to suits its user’s needs (Spring 2 Innovation, 2020). An approach for this could be design thinking, where organizations become antifragile by focusing on the user’s deepest pains and adjust their solutions accordingly. The fragile customers, with their pains and frustrations caused by stressors, can make a business antifragile if properly discovered, analyzed, interpreted, and implied.

Unfortunately, it is easier for a system to become antifragile at the expense of the fragility of its smaller sub-parts. This brings along inherent negative effects on entities lower in the chain.

I highly recommend checking out Talebs book, Antifragile (2012).

References:

https://www.campaignlive.co.uk/article/year-ahead-forsocial-media/1165874

Taleb, N. N. (2012). Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder. Random House.

Schrodinger/Penrose, E. (2012). What is Life?: With Mind and Matter and Autobiographical Sketches (Canto Classics) (Reprint ed.). Cambridge University Press.

Ries, E. (2011). The Lean Startup: How Today’s Entrepreneurs Use Continuous Innovation to Create Radically Successful Businesses (Illustrated ed.). Currency.

(I do not own any of the pictures in this post)

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De-evolution of digital reproducibility

3

October

2021

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Hundreds of years ago, our ancestors bought ‘this‘ unique horse or ‘that’ unique horse, not ‘the’ horse. For us, today, it seems obvious that two automobiles of the same model are identical to each other and that no one owns a unique incarnation of ‘the’ car. Sometimes, it is observable that people put e.g., stickers on their cars, to support individualism on an automobile that is perfectly identical to thousands of others of its kind (Floridi, 2010). Amongst other factors, this is due to the inherent human need to feel special relative to others and to discover one’s own unique identity (Schumpe and Erb, 2015). 

In the digital world, the reproduction of digital goods comes at extremely low marginal costs (Shapiro and Varian, 1998) as, once created, information is perfectly copyable. This means further erosion of personal identity, where anonymous users are exposed to billions of other similar information entities. Floridi continues that, as a response to gain a sense of uniqueness, many people deliberately post and share personal information about them on social media to become less informationally anonymous. While privacy remains highly important, it is used by some as a form of capital that can be invested or paid with, to construct themselves as unique individuals in an informationally mass-produced world. Something that seems to halt the infinite reproduction of digital goods are NFTs.

Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), a new technology, are not interchangeable, digital objects with unique attributes. Their underlying blockchain technology enables NFTs to be 1) Non-fungible: every NFT is unique and not interchangeable with another NFT. 2) Indivisible: an NFT cannot be used by two entities simultaneously (e.g. no two persons can use the same plane ticket at one time). 3) Scarce: their value is driven by their scarcity. 4) Transparent: due to the distributed and public nature of blockchain, NFTs are authenticated by all users of the network. This means that ownership is proven and immutable. Being the original owner of a given NFT cannot be imitated. 5) Interoperability: open standards such as ERC-721 and ERC-1155 allow NFT trade across different blockchains and decentralized ledger technologies via bridges (Hedera, 2021).

The application possibilities for NFTs are numerous. Due to their claim of ownership, any unique piece of digital data is traceable through a blockchain such as Ethereum. Thus, NFTs can be used for digital art, software, and real-world items such as car deeds, event tickets, invoices, legal documents (e.g., smart contracts that self-execute once a condition between two parties is met (Investopedia, 2021), signatures (Ethereum.org, n.d.) and many more.

The philosopher Walter Benjamin stated in 1935 that machinal reproduction of art, e.g., print at that time, lacks one fundamental element for perfect reproductivity: its unique appearance in space and time, “…its unique existence at a place where it happens to be…”. The uniqueness of an object and its “one-timeliness” when it is experienced, cannot be reproduced. Benjamin describes this as “Aura”, which can only be attributed to the original work (Cultural Studies Now, 2013).

In the digital age, no one has ever directly and uniquely interacted with something at a unique place (apart from data on a server farm). The capability to reproduce any digital media removes uniqueness and exchanges it with mass reproduction. With each actualization of digital media, a human user is thus generating another copy of an already countlessly copied entity. Its “Aura” thus has been lost (Scobel, 2021).

With their attribute of being perfectly cloneable, digital goods resist information decay, whereas information is lost when copying the copy of a copy… of e.g., a physical photo with a printer. While the loss of information is resisted, the loss of uniqueness, the “Aura” starts with the first copy, its scarcity with every other.

One can thus make an assumption that NFTs revert this trend, by being a de-evolution of the digital cloning process. NFTs decrease the loss of the “Aura”, enabling digital goods to exist as unique entities.

Now, what could this mean for digital business models?

There might be future business models that focus on delivering value as unique digital (Or physical experienced coupled with digital technology) entertainment experiences. Those might happen as a unique event, in an exclusive time, and unique space generated exclusively for individual participants, groups, or masses of people. (e.g., in Virtual Reality). So how could NFTs be used in such a business model where the uniqueness is interchangeable with the perishing of a one-time consumed experience, while NFTs store their value in their long-time existence on a blockchain? NFTs could be used, as souvenirs, proves of participation, and other unique objects that were generated in a one-time experience, collected by the user.

References

Ethereum. (n.d.). Non-fungible tokens (NFT). Ethereum.Org. Retrieved October 2, 2021, from https://ethereum.org/en/nft/

Smart Contracts: What You Need to Know. (n.d.). Investopedia. Retrieved October 2, 2021, from https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/smart-contracts.asp#:%7E:text=A%20smart%20contract%20is%20a,a%20distributed%2C%20decentralized%20blockchain%20network

Walter Benjamin’s concept of “Aura” and Authenticity in “The Work of Art in the Age of Mechanical Reproduction.” (2013, May 5). Cultural Studies Now. https://culturalstudiesnow.blogspot.com/2013/05/walter-benjamins-concept-of-aura-and.html

H. (2021, September 29). What is a non-fungible token (NFT)? Hedera. https://hedera.com/learning/what-is-a-non-fungible-token-nft

Floridi, L. (2010). Information: A Very Short Introduction (Illustrated ed.). Oxford University Press.

Shapiro, Carl, and Hal R. Varian. “VERSIONING: THE SMART WAY TO SELL INFORMATION.” Harvard Business Review, Nov.-

Dec. 1998, p. 106. Gale Academic OneFile, link.gale.com/apps/doc/A53221402/AONE?u=erasmus&sid=bookmark-

AONE&xid=00c63221. Accessed 13 Sept. 2021.

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