TV ads, debates, posters and leaflets used to be the only means for politicians to get their message across. Nowadays, unless you are a fanatic follower of American news channels or papers, it is most likely you heard most of what you know about the 2016 election race through social media.
US political advertising is forecasted to hit a record of $11.4 billion in 2016. This is 20% more compared to the last presidential election year in 2012. Digital media, including social media, is likely to break the $1 billion barrier for the first time (Borrell Associates, 2015). The decisive factor in the use of social media is simple; it is a platform through which the vast majority of voters can be reached, and that is half the battle if you are in politics. It enables them to use images and video, which tend to attract more views and stay in people’s memories for a longer time. More importantly, it allows politicians to present themselves in a more authentic way, which in this age is an important means of differentiating yourself. With the crowd now watching politicians’ every move the question is no longer ‘Who is using social media?’ but rather ‘Who is using social media the most effectively’?
Politicians are mostly using the digital media to reach the Millennials (25 – 34 years old). This is the largest voting demographic but until today they have the lowest voting turnout (McMahon, 2016). Winning over this huge part of the American population could be the key to winning the elections and engaging on social media just might be the way to do it.
So how do politicians know what to post in order to be most effective? It will come as no surprise, but they are backed by agencies that use, of course, Big Data. These companies use analytical tools that analyze all 190 million registered voters and use data such as browsing history to send them personalized messages (Ayyar, 2016).
But it is not only politicians that are showing interest in social media. Facebook, Google, Twitter and Snapchat are also making their efforts to get politicians on their side. Twitter, for instance, shut down two sites that tracked tweets by politicians that were deleted and even hosted a breakfast in Washington to engage election candidates. Snapchat offers special filters and 10 second video ads specifically for political campaigns and even hired ex-Google frontman Rob Saliterman, who was in charge of political ad sales during the George W. Bush administration. Google however is the absolute winner of the 2016 elections. From sponsored links, YouTube video ads and display ads on publishing websites such as New York Times, presidential candidates have ample opportunity to present themselves through digital media (Ayyar, 2016).
Stray (2016) compared the polls with mentions, however positive or negative, of candidates in social media. Maybe not surprisingly, the two line up almost perfectly. Solely looking at the social media buzz, there seems to be a clear winner of the 2016 elections; Mr. Donald Trump. Do you think a follower equals a vote or is social media popularity still separated from becoming the White House’s next resident?
References
Customized image from Adobe Stock
Ayyar, R. (2016). Here’s How Social Media Will Impact the 2016 Presidential Election, SocialTimes
Borrell Associates (2015). 2015 to 2016 Political Outlook
McMahon, S. (2016). Can social media impact the 2016 presidential election as much as Obama’s 2012 campaign?, Social Media Week
Stray, J. (2016). How much influence does the media really have over elections? Digging into the data, NiemanLab