Initial Coin Offerings: A Ticking Time Bomb?

18

October

2017

4.75/5 (4)

The cryptocurrency world is going mad for token offerings. So far, over $320 million have already been raised this year through what is called Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) – the blockchain community’s version of crowdfunding. Many regard them as a promising new funding model that has the potential to disrupt traditional venture capitalists.

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But how does an ICO actually work? Basically, a company issues a certain amount of digital tokens, kind of an own cryptocurrency, to gain funding from potential investors. These tokens – which are similar to shares issued in an IPO – are sold in exchange for Bitcoins or Ether, but it can be fiat money as well. To do so, the startup firm must create a document that outlines key aspects such as

  • The overall idea of the project
  • Ways in which company seeks to generate value
  • Amount of money needed to undertake venture
  • Running time of the ICO campaign

Investors hope that the startup will become a success, which will lead to a value increase of their tokens. In fact, there have been already some very successful ICO projects in the past, such as Ethereum that managed to raise $18 million in 2014. Accordingly, ICOs are more and more seen as an efficient way to kickstart blockchain-focused projects.

However, insiders increasingly warn that ICOs become a hype and investors do not critically assess the companies they are investing in. In many cases, startups are launching an ICO without having a working product. Example: EOS. The company raised 650,000 ETH, which is the around $200 million, within the first five days of its ICO campaign. EOS could convince its investors with the idea of building a platform that is similar to Ethereum – just better, without transaction costs and faster processing. However, so far, it is just an idea and the startup has not come up with a working product yet. Accordingly, it is highly unclear, whether investors will ever get a return on their investment.

In general, a potential problem of ICOs is that they are unregulated, which means that they are not overseen by financial authorities like the Securities Exchange Commission. Thus, investors have no protection in case of fraudulent initiatives. Paired with a lack of careful upfront research and analysis, as investors blindly follow the temptation of potential huge returns, ICOs may in fact become a ticking time bomb…

 

References

Coman, A. (2017, June 25). ICO Review of: EOS (EOS tokens on Ethereum blockchain). Retrieved October 18, 2017, from https://medium.com/@EthereumRussian/ico-review-of-eos-eos-tokens-on-ethereum-blockchain-8984c975cd48

Marshall, A. (2017, March 07). ICO, Explained. Retrieved October 18, 2017, from https://cointelegraph.com/explained/ico-explained

Momoh, O. (2017, September 05). Initial Coin Offering (ICO). Retrieved October 18, 2017, from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/initial-coin-offering-ico.asp

Wong, J. I. (2017, June 05). The new cryptocurrency gold rush: digital tokens that raise millions in minutes. Retrieved October 18, 2017, from https://qz.com/994466/the-new-cryptocurrency-gold-rush-digital-tokens-that-raise-millions-in-minutes/

 

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Attention SMEs: Why WeChat is your digital gateway to China

2

October

2017

5/5 (1)

The retail industry is undergoing a considerable shakeup. Traditional retailers, especially small- and medium-sized, are increasingly put under pressure by digital players like Amazon. These agile companies are constantly disrupting the industry by introducing new, innovative solutions to effectively enhance the customer shopping experience. As a result, many traditional retailers see their profit margins dwindling. Especially SMEs are struggling to stay relevant in an increasingly competitive and digital game. But should they accept their fate? Certainly not. Rather, it is time for SMEs around the globe to scale-up their e-commerce activities and think big.

No doubt, the ongoing digitization has introduced numerous complexities and uncertainties to the life of small- and medium-sized retailers. Yet, it unlocks new opportunities that may not have been regarded as feasible before, such as tapping into one of the largest economies in the world.

To date, expanding to China has often been described by SMEs as venturing into the unknown, given the country’s complex regulatory requirements, significant logistical challenges and the unique characteristics of the Chinese consumer. Although these barriers do still exist, the global digitization has fuelled a combination of regulatory, socio-cultural and technological trends in the country, enabling SMEs to enter China in a new, cost- and time-efficient way: via social media.

Why China, why now – 3 key trends at a glance

SME leaders must understand the underlying trends that together pave the way for their businesses to ultimately win in the Chinese e-commerce market. Three critical and mutually-reinforcing trends are:

  1. China’s e-commerce market is booming. Between 2010 and 2014, Chinese e-commerce grew by nearly 600%. Online retail sales are expected to exceed USD 1 billion by 2018 (Bain, 2015). Especially cross-border e-commerce is growing as Chinese consumers increasingly demand high-quality products from foreign manufacturers.
  2. China is becoming a mobile-first population. Mobile sales outgrew desktop sales for the first time in 2015 and are expected to significantly grow over the next years (Deloitte, 2016). Accordingly, e-commerce is gradually shifting towards m-commerce.
  3. The rise of social media. In no other country, social media is such a large phenomenon as in China. Yet, the social media ecosystem is significantly different from the Western one: No Facebook. No WhatsApp. No Instagram. Rather, one single integrated application exists on which Chinese consumers spent more than a third of their mobile internet time, whilst returning to the app ten times per day or more: WeChat.

 

WeChat
WeChat: one integrated platform

 

Social media as a mode of market entry

Less than 20% of Dutch SMEs are exporting their products or operating outside the national boundaries. This low number does likely not result from the lack of opportunities overseas, but rather from the limited usefulness of traditional modes of market entry for SMEs. Many of these entry modes are sheer not feasible, especially in China, due to the high (financial) commitments and risks involved. And low-cost modes like indirect exporting are deemed to fail, as SMEs often still need to build brand equity in the world’s second-largest economy, which is difficult without a certain degree of control and involvement in the market.

Social media overcomes many of the traditional modes’ shortcomings, representing an effective way for SMEs to gain a foothold in the Chinese market. This is possible, due to China’s unique social media landscape, which is fundamentally shaped by a single, integrated application: WeChat. This app, used by more than 800 million Chinese daily, offers every feature that businesses need to effectively engage with their customers at any stage of the customer journey – from creating awareness through content sharing, to selling products via branded WeChat shops, to ensuring customer loyalty with the help of customer analytics. In fact, e-commerce sales on WeChat increased from 15% to 31% over the last year, a figure that continues to rise rapidly (Deloitte, 2017). Besides, this development is largely enabled by WeChat’s integrated (cross-border-ready) payment solution that gradually pushes China towards becoming a cashless economy – with more than 200 million Chinese consumers having already attached their credit cards to the app.

Given the relatively low risks and requirements involved, foreign businesses can leverage WeChat to effectively enter and test the Chinese market in a cost- and time-efficient way, whilst using customer feedback and customer data to fine-tune their online presence and strategy. Besides building brand equity, SMEs should focus on the generation of first sales to validate the product-market fit. Once a certain amount of sales has materialized, SMEs should carefully craft a full-fledged e-commerce strategy that capitalizes on China’s burgeoning cross-border e-commerce platforms. Clearly, WeChat is not the destination, but merely the start of a promising venture.

 


References

Bain & Company 2015, China’s E-Commerce: the new branding game. Bain & Company Insights, December 15.

Deloitte 2017, China e-retail market report 2016. Shanghai: Deloitte China.

Gong, F., Lau, A. & Wang, K.W. 2016, How savvy, social shoppers are transforming Chinese e-commerce. McKinsey Quarterly, April.

Nielsen 2014, China sees more sophisticated online shoppers: Precision marketing necessary to win in e-commerce. New York: Nielsen Global.

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TECHNOLOGY OF THE WEEK: How the Blockchain disrupts the financial services industry

22

September

2017

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Technology of the Week – Blockchain: Disrupting Financial Services (GROUP 7)

Link to video:

In 2008, just a few days after the collapse of the Lehmann Brothers and the following meltdown of the financial industry, a new concept of currency entered the stage aiming to significantly transform our perception of money and trust. An anonymous person, alias Satoshi Nakamoto, developed the idea of an electronic cash system and introduced a digital currency: the bitcoin. In a first white paper that quickly went viral among hackers and cypherpunks, he explained his vision of a purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash which would have the power to create a financial system outside the control of governments and banks. But the question then was how to establish trust between unknown parties who aim to forge agreements or make transactions with each other.

Here, blockchain technology enters the stage. The blockchain is a decentralized ledger system that records, verifies and approves all transactions taking place between market participants. In fact, the blockchain aimed to render financial intermediaries such as banks or rating agencies obsolete as the “network revolution” shifted power away from central authorities towards a decentralized P2P network. For the first time in human history, people can complete transactions with each other without being dependent on a third party to establish trust between them.

To conclude, blockchain’s disruptive capacity stems from its ability
• to fundamentally change today’s distribution of power in the financial services industry (i.e. new industry dynamics)
• to give rise to the emergence of new ways to create and capture value in the financial services sector (i.e. new business models)

We expect these forces (1) to redefine the rules of the game and (2) to challenge incumbents to find new ways to play in the new era of digital competition.

Cross-border payment providers could be the first players within the financial services industry to see their business models disrupted by blockchain and bitcoin. Today, cross-border payments are a highly inefficient process with many intermediaries pocketing transaction fees along the way. A migrant worker using a company like Western Union to send money back home to her family may end up paying 10-20% transaction fees. Why can these companies command such high commission fees? In fact, today the providers of cross-border payment services have a high bargaining power – mainly because the level of competition is low. However, through the blockchain and the use of a global currency such as bitcoin, barriers to entry in the cross-border payments industry will be substantially reduced leading to more intense competition which will translate into lower transaction fees. In addition, it is not only the higher level of competition that drives down fees but also the disruptive power of blockchain to cut unnecessary intermediaries out of the equation. Please refer to our video for a full discussion of the impact of blockchain on industry dynamics in the cross-border payments industry.

Certainly, no discussion of a new technology is complete without shedding some light on its limitations and risks. Currently, the blockchain can only handle a limited amount of transactions per second which might become a bottleneck and limit its scalability going forward. Moreover, incumbents want to see their business model protected and hence pressure governments to enforce regulations that limit the development of blockchain applications (such as the bitcoin).

However, we strongly believe that the bitcoin is here to stay and that it will be a game changer in the financial services industry.

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