The relevance of governments in the digital era

14

October

2018

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Are influential leaders such as Trump, Putin, or Jinping really all that powerful? Do governments really have as much grip on the Googles and Amazons of our time as they think they do? How relevant are national governments in this digital age, and what role will major digital actors play in future politics?

Politics are at the core of our society, playing a central role on social media and talk shows, and often leading to heated discussions between parties with differing political perspectives (e.g. democrats vs. republicans). While this is all very intriguing, the rise of digital giants should shift the attention to the very fundamentals of the political systems as we know them. Regardless of political preference, most people will agree that a country’s political system and its government are at the core of the legislative framework, which shapes our society.      From an individual’s standpoint, governments seem almighty and very inattentive to a single person’s input. However, this changes when considering digital firms (Berger, 2016), such as Google or Amazon, which operate globally, have established enormous networks, and are increasingly influential by entering ever more different industries.

Now the question arises what a single government could do to set limits to the increasing integration of these firms in society. Realistically, governments are in a vulnerable position (Gavet, 2017); imposing new legislation or threatening digital giants with fines will likely be ineffective. First of all, most fines are laughable for such as firms, as their financial resources are virtually inexhaustible. Also, digital giants could respond with counter-threats; Google could simply shut down its search-engine service in a particular country, taking away most inhabitants’ way-of-access to the internet. Moreover, it would take away firms’ ability to cost-effectively reach millions of potential customers. This could lead to declining sales, increasing advertising costs, or both. In turn, this would likely result in a substantial amount of people losing their job, which creates an economic snowball effect. Furthermore, social media platforms could significantly influence people’s political perspective and voting behaviour by censoring specific information or putting more emphasis on a certain political event (Epstein, 2016). Finally, digital firms are characterized by ‘non-localization’, meaning that borders become irrelevant and local regulations are only partially applicable (Gavet, 2017). Thus, should governments really mess with the giants? Should they get their hands dirty and risk major economic consequences or should they leave the digital giants untouched? Arguably, governments lose in both scenarios. Digital giants have rapidly evolved and, in combination with governments’ lack of vigor, speed, and agility to address these firms in an earlier stage, have lead political systems and governments to be in a vulnerable position (Jarrar, 2017). The question arises; will digital firms show mercy, or will they deal governments the final blow?

 

Sources:

Berger, C. (2016). Power in the digital age. Retrieved 27-09-2018 from https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/27/06/2016/power-digital-age

Epstein, R. (2016). The new mind control. Retrieved 27-09-2018 from https://aeon.co/essays/how-the-internet-flips-elections-and-alters-our-thoughts

Gavet, M. (2017). The digital revolution is destroying our democracies. It doesn’t have to be that way. Retrieved 27-09-2018 from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/02/the-digital-revolution-is-destroying-our-democracies-it-doesn-t-have-to-be-that-way

Jarrar, Y. (2017). What is the role of government in the digital age?. Retrieved 27-09-2018 from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/02/role-of-government-digital-age-data/

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Is Tesla doomed to fail?

6

October

2018

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Although many people only really got to know Tesla over the last few years, the company has been around since 2003. From its inception, it took Tesla roughly 5 years to design and manufacturer its very first product; the Tesla Roadster. Again, many people may not have heard of this car, which is not surprising considering the company did not even manage to sell the 2500 cars it had produced between 2008 and 2012 (Woodyard, 2011; Garthwaite, 2011). The apparent struggle of Tesla to establish itself in the automotive industry arguably caused many incumbent manufacturers to ignore the ‘irrelevant startup’. Fast forward a decade and it is apparent that the automotive industry has been significantly disturbed by Tesla. The success of the company made clear to incumbent manufacturers that consumers of electric cars were not limited to tree-hugging, nature-loving hippies. In fact, quite the opposite market trend could be identified; electric cars were desirable by ‘normal’ people. These people were not necessarily attracted because of environmental motives (although it is a nice feature), but more so because Tesla managed to provide an electric substitute to the regular car that could compete with the high-end models of luxury brands such as Audi and BMW. As such, Tesla more recent model, the model S and model X have become a common sight in many countries. Moreover, the firm has recently introduced the model 3, which is considerably more affordable and should significantly increase Tesla’s establishment in the automotive industry. However, serious risks and threats could very well be the demise of the company. For example, the production of the model 3 encountered major issues and setbacks (Moskvitch, 2018), causing delivery delays for customers. Also, Tesla’s current cash flow is not sustainable (Engle, 2018; Denning, 2018), with some financial- and investment experts predicting bankruptcy within a year (Black, 2018). To make matters worse, Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk allegedly engaged in fraudulent activities regarding his intention to buy back all the company’s outstanding shares, causing the shareprice to nosedive. It seems then that, despite the company’s rapid market capitalization and significant impact in the automotive industry, the costs and sacrifices behind its success are starting to catch up. The question arises: is the hype around the brand Tesla gradually dying off? If so, bankruptcy seems inevitable. Will Elon Musk pull out one of his magic cards to save Tesla from its increasingly gloomy situation? Only time – which might only be 6-12 months – can tell!  

 

Sources:

Black, S. (2018). “Tesla, without any doubt, is on the verge of bankruptcy.”. Retrieved 04-10-2018 from https://www.sovereignman.com/trends/tesla-without-any-doubt-is-on-the-verge-of-bankruptcy-23219/

Denning, L. (2018). Tesla’s Cash-Back Request Sends a Worrisome Message. Retrieved 04-10-2018 from https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-10-01/aston-martin-s-valkyrie-has-a-lot-riding-on-her

Engle, J. (2018). How bad is Tesla’s cash position?. Retrieved 04-10-2018 from https://seekingalpha.com/article/4190397-bad-teslas-cash-position

Garthwaite, J. (2011). Tesla Prepares for a Gap as Roadster Winds Down. Retrieved 04-10-2018 https://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/08/automobiles/08TESLA.html?_r=1&emc=eta1

Moskvitch, K. (2018). Tesla hit its Model 3 production target, but has quality been compromised?. Retrieved 04-10-2018 from https://www.wired.co.uk/article/tesla-model-3-production-news

Woodyard, C. (2011). Tesla boasts about electric car deliveries, plans for sedan. Retrieved 04-10-2018 from http://content.usatoday.com/communities/driveon/post/2011/08/tesla-boasts-about-electric-car-deliveries-plans-for-sedan/1#.W7Xeh2gzaUk

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The not-so glamorous side of blockchain

30

September

2018

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Nowadays, blockchain seems to be on everyone’s mind. In fact, the technology behind Bitcoin has become mainstream to such an extend that most companies are exploring the implementation in their organization. By now, due to the extensive attention blockchain has received over the past years, most people will be aware of the advantages that the technology offers. Data can be stored without worrying that it can ever be altered – at least not without leaving traces – and a decentralized, trustworthy system can be created (Zheng et al. 2018). In theory, then, blockchain technology seems to be beneficial and desirable to parties that work with data, which is virtually any contemporary business.

However, as is often the case, theory and practice are far from aligned, which is evident from the 92% failure rate of blockchain projects (Maloney, 2018). First of all, the security and trust factors that characterize blockchain are founded on the use of external, independent nodes which each perform verification on a specific block of data. Although this Proof-of-Work concept does wonders for the security and trustability of data, the process itself is highly inefficient. Basically, every node will put in effort to provide the Proof-of-Work, but only one node will be rewarded. As such, the effort of every node besides that of the winner is wasted. This redundancy is further amplified as the scale of the blockchain increases and more nodes are added to the network (Back, 2018).

Another problem arises from the fact that most businesses want to develop an internal blockchain, thereby excluding any external parties to the network. As such, the blockchain will no longer be decentralized, but rather consist of several (hybrid) or only one node (centralized). Implementing such systems defeats the purpose of blockchain entirely, as the verification of data is shifted from many independent, external parties to only a few internal actors. Thus, hybrid and centralized blockchains are highly dependent on the trustworthiness of the internal ‘nodes’, thereby opposing blockchain’s core ideology to distribute consensus and responsibility among many to create trust.

Even if we put these issues to the side, one fundamental weakness remains; blockchain does not account for the quality of the input data. Sure, the data can not secretly be altered, but for data to be added to the blockchain, one simply needs majority consent from the network of nodes. Thus, if the majority of nodes believe the information is true or behave maliciously, data is added without necessarily being true and/or accurate (Bauerle, n.d.). This is particularly problematic for centralized blockchains – the version preferred by most firms – because the system’s node(s) can basically determine what information is stored on the blockchain, and what is not. This gives substantial power to the whoever controls the node and raises the question to what extent that person can be trusted, which is exactly what blockchain was designed to overcome.

In short, blockchain has great potential and can be beneficial to businesses worldwide, but the current state of the technology and its capabilities is overhyped, and its flaws often overlooked. So, would you still place your bets on blockchain to disrupt future business?

For further reading, I would highly recommend Stinchcombe’s writings (link below)!

Sources:

Back. A. (2018). The 5 major problems with bitcoin and blockchain technology. Retrieved 30-09-2018 from https://blockchainreview.io/blockchain-bitcoin-problems-limitations-issues-weaknesses/

Bauerly, N. (n.d.). What are blockchain’s issues and limitations?. Retrieved 30-09-2018 from https://www.coindesk.com/information/blockchains-issues-limitations/

Maloney, C. (2018). 92% of all blockchain projects fail. Retrieved 30-09-2018 from https://ethereumworldnews.com/92-of-all-blockchain-projects-fail/

Zheng, B., Zhu, L., Shen, M., Gao, F., Zhang, C., Li, Y., & Yang, J. (2018). Scalable and Privacy-

Preserving Data Sharing Based on Blockchain. Journal of Computer Science and Technology, Vol. 33(3)

Stinchcombe’s article:

https://medium.com/@kaistinchcombe/decentralized-and-trustless-crypto-paradise-is-actually-a-medieval-hellhole-c1ca122efdec

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