Why we should not fear for robots stealing our jobs

8

October

2021

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In my job as a business analyst, I work on the robotization of business processes. We often get the question: are you destroying human jobs by robotization? Although it is true that one of the main objectives of robotization, and digitization in general, is increased efficiency, and robots do substitute some jobs, ultimately they will lead to increased added value for both the demand side as well as the supply side of the job market.

Firstly, robots are likely to replace highly repetitive and logic-based tasks, which does lead to job loss in the lower end of the market (2). For one, this is beneficial to the employer (demand side of the labor market), because of the gained efficiencies and elimination of human error. Secondly, this may be beneficial to employees: as a result of their repetitive tasks being replaced, they are likely to focus on more value-adding tasks, requiring interpretation instead of repetitive logic-based operations, which is likely to improve employee satisfaction. However, of course there will be some jobs that become obsolete as a result of robotization.

Although this downside of robotization is certainly existent, both the history and future predictions tell us that automation also creates job opportunities. These predictions show this will completely offset the job loss as a result of robotization, even resulting in more newly available jobs (2). Besides the positive offset to the quantity of jobs, job value (both monetary – salary, and job satisfaction level) will also increase as a result of this. Because low-level jobs disappear and are replaced by roles with increased expectations and complexity, entry-level job seekers will be more likely to be wanted for those jobs that would have been out of reach in a world without automation. Examples of jobs with increasing demand are data analysts, for which the demand has increased by 650% in the period between 2013 and 2017 (3), marketing specialists, system engineers, and – of course – process automation specialists (2).

To conclude, robotization does not only lead to gains in efficiency and non-monetary benefits such as increased employee satisfaction, but it also creates new jobs. These new jobs are higher valued than the originally substituted jobs, thus robotization does not only provide benefits to the welfare in general (the society) and the employers but also creates long-term value to job-seekers.

References

(1) Brown, T. (2016) Will robots actually take your job? (retrieved from https://www.raconteur.net/will-robots-actually-take-your-job/) (image source)

(1) World Economic Forum (2020) Future of Jobs Report 2020 (retrieved from https://www.weforum.org/reports/the-future-of-jobs-report-2020/)

(2) LinkedIn (2017) Here Are the 20 Fastest-Growing Jobs in the US (retrieved from https://www.linkedin.com/business/talent/blog/talent-strategy/fastest-growing-jobs-in-the-us)

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How obsolete can humankind become?

6

October

2021

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The rapid evolution of automation, machine learning and AI has prompted a lot of questions regarding humankinds’ future. Will machines be able to take over any job? Is my job safe? Are we looking at a society with above 50% unemployment? What other impacts will this have on humans? What are the challenges that come with “robots”?

The development has ignited governments to rethink. In 2016, the Swiss went to the voting machines to vote over income to all citizens regardless of employment. The result? A solid “No”. The swiss government’s argument was that if machines were to take more and more jobs, the unemployment rate would increase. In a society, the economy is reliant on sellers and buyers. With such a high rate of unemployment, fewer people would be able to buy, leading to a decrease in the flow of money. Which would inevitably damage the economy and society. The argument behind the proposed change becomes more and more relevant as AI and machines improve. However, is this a good solution? Could that lead to a “Wall-E” type world where all you do is “chill” day-in and day-out?  

“I do not find this a promising future, as I do not find the prospect of leisure-only life appealing. I believe that work is essential to human well-being”. – Moshe Vardi on machines substituting humans.

Moshe Vardi, a computer scientist at Rice university, argues that the negative projections of human labor would be highly damaging to society. The continuously difficult question “what is the meaning of life” is today answered through working. Working hard to achieve things brings out a satisfaction of accomplishment. With a lot of middle-class jobs on the brink of being replaced more people would find less value in life. Vardi, argues that this is humankinds’ biggest challenge yet. How do we coexist with machines? Could humans find another purpose than working?

Of course, machines are not going to overtake every job on the market right away. The development takes time and most likely humans are going to be required for certain jobs. However, anticipating the future is impossible. Which means it is even more important to think about the possibilities and challenges it might hold. It could be an idea to venture outside and start focusing on alternatives to working or reshape how we look at working. What are your thoughts on the matter? How obsolete can humankind become?

Sources:

Leetaru, K. (2016). Will AI and Robots make humans obsolete? Forbes. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/sites/kalevleetaru/2016/06/14/will-ai-and-robots-make-humans-obsolete/?sh=d51b45d35f2c

Rice University. (2016). When machines can do any job, what will humans do? Human labor may be obsolete by 2045. ScienceDaily. Retrieved from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2016/02/160213185923.htm

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