AI and Criminology: HANDLE WITH CARE

6

October

2022

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It is undeniable that AI and Machine Learning are becoming the integral tools for many processes and activities across all industries and fields of study. This leaves no exception for criminology, as police forces are starting to adopt it globally, from using it as tools in solving criminal cases to developing it into a crime predicting model. But did we think this through?


AI performance statistics could be over glamorized where its implementation flaws could be neglected. For example, the developed AI model can be so advanced that some model has a 90% accuracy in predicting crime (E&T, 2022). However, the development also revealed that their data’s bias was difficult to account for. For example, in their previous version of the model, when it comes to predicting which individuals are likely to be involved in a violent crime in Chicago, more than half of black male population of the age between 20 and 29 years old were listed on it. This is due to the bias in the arrest data where people from the black community were often wrongly arrested due to the history of racial profiling. In fact, the data regarding negligible crime such as marijuana arrest and traffic stops had to be omitted, and more data regarding homicides and assaults had to be added to remove the bias (Verma, 2022). This suggests that any advancement or development of an AI-based, or a data-driven system in enforcing justice must be closely monitored, where higher quantity of data does not always lead to better performance.


This is not to neglect the potentials and past achievements of AI in criminology. An AI-based system could help law enforcers look up crucial information of an individual or could speed up the analysis of a surveillance video by finding a specific individual with a specific outfit color in a lengthy video full of people (Lee, 2020). In the forensics’ field, an AI based model was developed and managed to identify model of footwear from footwear impressions at a higher range of accuracy than a normal individual (Bennett and Budka, 2021). However, this level of accuracy cannot beat the footwear experts’ accuracy at almost 100%, due to some factors that are difficult for AI to account for, such as how footwear impressions can vary with how old the shoes are. This suggests that although AI could be used in performing basic analysis tasks, the more complex tasks should be left to a person with expertise to solve.


AI technology may not be perfect to run on its own in enforcing justice and solving crime, but it could serve as a great tool for humans to do so with great care. It is not a question whether humans or AI should be used exclusively in criminology, but how both can work together in improving the world.

Sources

Bennett, M. and Budka, M., 2021. We trained AI to recognise footprints, but it won’t replace forensic experts yet. [online] The Conversation. Available at: <https://theconversation.com/we-trained-ai-to-recognise-footprints-but-it-wont-replace-forensic-experts-yet-161686> [Accessed 6 October 2022].

E&T. 2022. AI ‘predicts crime with 90 per cent accuracy’. [online] Available at: <https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2022/07/ai-predicts-crime-with-90-per-cent-accuracy/> [Accessed 6 October 2022].

Lee, J., 2020. How AI technology is helping solving crime. [online] Police1. Available at: <https://www.police1.com/police-products/police-technology/police-software/articles/how-ai-technology-is-helping-solving-crime-7vb577RVrWliW57H/> [Accessed 6 October 2022].

Verma, P., 2022. The never-ending quest to predict crime using AI. [online] The Washington Post. Available at: <https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/07/15/predictive-policing-algorithms-fail/> [Accessed 6 October 2022].

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AI as a mean to reduce criminality

13

September

2017

5/5 (3) A few years ago, I watched Person of Interest – a TV series in which Artificial Intelligence (AI) is used to analyse data from cameras, computers, and other electronic devices, making it possible to predict and prevent crimes before they even happen. At the time, I never thought something like that was possible but well, that has changed. Even though AI technologies available today are nowhere as sophisticated as in the show, experts affirm that there have been some serious progress in that direction.

 

According to Dr. Simon See – director for NVDIA AI technology center – “AI can predict the probability of crime in a location by detecting anomalies and faces”. This is exactly what China is aiming to do. Cloud Walk, a company located in Guangzhou Tianhe Software Park, combines its facial recognition software and big data analysis tools to track people’s location and behaviour in order to assess the odds of them committing a crime. Suspicious behaviours, such as frequent visits to gun shops or transportation centres (a good target location for terrorists), are flagged, and a warning is forwarded to the local police. The law enforcement forces can then intervene before the crime even happens.

In addition, in Durham, England, the law enforcement forces are making use of HART – an AI system developed by a Professor of Cambridge University – to help them determine whether a suspect should be released or keep in custody. HART uses the police’s database to forecast the risk of a suspect re-offending by putting them in either a low, moderate or high-risk category. The police can then decide on the appropriate course of action based on the ranking. Although the system is not yet ready to be deployed on a large scale, the tests conducted in Durham are quite encouraging as only 2% of low-risk suspects went on to commit a serious offense. Similarly, in the US, law courts and correction departments are making use of AI to help them pass judgement. Similarly to HART, the system determines the likelihood of the defendant committing another offense or whether he’s likely to appear to his court date. Based on the output, the court can then make decisions about bail, sentencing, and parole.

 

After reading a few articles to write the present post, I immediately thought that using AI to reduce criminal offenses seemed to be an amazing idea to – reduced criminality, terrorist attacks prevented, less “detective work” for the law enforcement forces, what else could we want? However, after further considerations, I believe that even if AI might be able to prevent some crimes in the ways mentioned previously, it also presents several issues.

First, whoever does the design and coding brings his own beliefs, biases, misunderstandings, and, most crucially, prejudices to the party. As long as this issue is not fixed, should we really trust a man’s freedom with a machine that might contain hidden biases rather than a jury composed of random people from different backgrounds?

Second, it is important not to forget that the law enforcement forces are not the only ones making use of IT, criminals also do. Thus, although AI might prove useful in reducing criminality, it also poses new threats to security, and as long as we don’t find ways to counter these, I wouldn’t trust my life to an auto-driven car or the likes.

 

And you, what do you think about AI as a way to reduce criminality & passing judgements? Let me know in the comments.

 

References:

  • Gibbs, M. (2017, February 25). Pre-crime, algorithms, artificial intelligence, and ethics. Retrieved from https://www.networkworld.com/article/3174331/big-data-business-intelligence/pre-crime-algorithms-artificial-intelligence-and-ethics.html
  • Hamill, K. D. (2017, May 11). British cops test Minority Report-style system to stop crimes before they happen. Retrieved from https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/3536544/british-cops-test-minority-report-style-system-to-stop-crimes-before-they-happen/
  • Markou, C. (2017, May 16). Why using AI to sentence criminals is a dangerous idea. Retrieved from https://phys.org/news/2017-05-ai-sentence-criminals-dangerous-idea.html
  • Yang, Y., Yang, Y., & Ju, S. F. (2017, July 23). China seeks glimpse of citizens’ future with crime-predicting AI. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/5ec7093c-6e06-11e7-b9c7-15af748b60d0

 

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